Population: References and Readings

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World Watch Magazine Special Population Issue—References and Readings

References and readings compiled by the authors of the feature articles in World Watch magazine.

Abernethy, V., Population Pressure and Cultural Adjustment (New York: Human Sciences Press, 1979).

Abernethy, V., Population Politics (New York: Plenum Press, 1993).

Abernethy V. "The Demographic Transition Revisited: Lessons for Foreign Aid and U.S. Immigration Policy," Ecological Economics 8, 1993, pp. 235–52.

Abernethy, Virginia D., "Optimism and Overpopulation," The Atlantic Monthly, December 1994, pp. 84–91.

Abernethy, Virginia Deane, "Allowing Fertility Decline: 200 Years After Malthus's Essay on Population," Environmental Law 27(4), 1997, pp. 1097–1110.

Abernethy, Virginia D., "Why Asian Population Gowth Is Winding Down," Chronicles, October 1998, pp. 46, 47.

Abernethy, Virginia Deane, "United States-Supported Population Policies in the Third World," in World Development: Aid and Foreign Direct Investment 1999/2000 (London: Kensington Publications, 1999).

Abernethy,Virginia, "Population Dynamics: Why We Can Sit Back and Watch Fertility Fall," in Rose, J., ed., Population Problems: Topical Issues (Amsterdam: Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, 2000), pp.35–43.

Abernethy, Virginia Deane, "Population and Environment: Assumptions, Interpretation, and Other Reasons for Confusion," in Poore, D., ed., Where Next: Reflections on the Human Future (London: Royal Botanic Gardens, 2000).

Abernethy, Virginia Deane, "Population Dynamics: Poverty, Inequality, and Self-Regulating Fertility Rates," Population and Environment 24 (1), 2002, pp. 69–96.

Abernethy, Virginia Deane, "Fertility Decline; No Mystery," Ethics in Science and Environmental Politics, May 24, 2002, pp. 1–11, at www.esep.de/articles/esep/2002/article1.pdf.

Abernethy, Virginia Deane and Penaloza, Roberto V., "Fertility Decline in Former Asian Tigers," Population and Environment 23(3), 2002, pp.245–66.

Bartlett, Albert A., "Reflections on Sustainability, Population Growth, and the Environment," Population and Environment 16(1), 1994, pp 5–36.

Bartlett, Albert. A., "An Analysis of U.S. and World Oil Production Patterns Using Hubbert-Style Curves," Mathematical Geology 32 (1), 2000, pp.1–17.

BBC News, "World Population Growth ‘Falling,'" World Edition, March 23, 2004.

Bouvier, L. "More African Famines in the Future?" Carrying Capacity Network, Clearing House Bulletin 5 (2), March 1995, pp. 1–3.

Campbell, Colin J., The Future of Oil (Brentwood, Essex, UK: Multi-Science Publishing Company, Ltd., 1998).

Campbell, Colin J., "Petroleum and People," Population and Environment 24(2), November 2002, pp.193–208.

Campbell, Colin. Association for the Study of Peak Oil, Newsletter No. 25, January 2003.

Campbell, Colin. Association for the Study of Peak Oil, Newsletter No. 33, September 2003.

Ching, Tee Hun, "Three Children the Ideal Few Achieve," The Straits Times, March 17, 2004, p. 1.

Conrad, Cristoph; Lechner, M.; and Werner, Welf, "East German Fertility After Unification: Crisis or Adaptation?" Population and Development Review 22 (2), June 1996, pp. 331–58.

Courbage, Youssef. "Fertility Transition in the Mashriq and Maghrib," in Obermeyer, C.M., ed., Family, Gender, and Population in the Middle East (Cairo: The American University in Cairo Press, 1995).

Duncan, Richard C., "The Life Expectancy of Industrial Civilization: The Decline to Global Equilibrium," Population and Environment 14 (4), 1993, pp. 325–58.

Duncan, Richard C., "World Energy Production, Population Growth, and the Road to the Olduvai Gorge," Population and Environment 22(5), 2001, pp. 503–22.

Duncan, Richard C. and Younguist, Walter, "Encircling the Peak of World Oil Production," Natural Resources Research 8(3), 1999, pp. 219–32.

Fargues, Philippe. "Changing Hierarchies of Gender and Generation in the Arab World," in Obermeyer, C.M., ed., Family, Gender, and Population in the Middle East (Cairo: The American University in Cairo Press, 1995).

Gever, J., R. Kaufmann, D. Skole, and C. Vorosmarty, Beyond Oil: The Threat to Food and Fuel in Coming Decades (Cambridge: Ballinger, 1986).

Hall, Charles, Pradeep Tharakan, John Hallock, Cutler Cleveland, and Michael Jefferson, "Hydrocarbons and the Evolution of Human Culture," Nature 426, 20 November 2003, pp. 318–22.

Heinberg, Richard. The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies (Gabriola Island, Canada: New Society Publishers, 2003).

Holdren, John, "Population and the Energy Problem," Population and Environment 12(3), 1991, pp. 231–55.

Investor's Business Daily,"Royal Dutch/Shell Cut Reserves," 12 January 2004, p.1.

Laherrere, Jean, "Modeling Future Oil Production, Population, and the Economy," presented at the ASPO Second International Workshop on Oil and Gas, Paris, 26 and 27 May 2003.

Longwell, Harry J., "The Future of the Oil and Gas Industry: Past Approaches, New Challenges," World Energy 5(3), 2002, pp.102–105.

Martine, George. "Brazil's Fertility Decline, 1965–1995," Population and Development Review 22 (1), 1996, pp. 47–76.

Moffett, G.D. The Global Population Challenge: Critical Masses (New York: Viking Press, 1994).

Moran, E.F., "Human Adaptive Strategies in Amazonian Blackwater Ecosystems," American Anthropologist 93, 1991, pp. 361–82.

National Petroleum Council, Balancing Natural Gas Policy – Fueling the Demands of a Growing Economy; Report to the Secretary of Energy, Washington D.C.: 2003.

Population Reference Bureau, World Population Data Sheet (2000 and 2003), Washington, D.C.

Sampson, Anthony. "Oilmen Don't Want Another Suez," The Observer, 22 December 2002.

Smil, Vachav, "Global Population and the Nitrogen Cycle," Scientific American, July 1997, pp. 76–81.

Tolan, Sandy, "Beyond Regime Change: Attacking Iraq Opens Way for Remaking Mideast," Los Angeles Times, 1 December 2002, pp. M1,6.

United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (New York: 2003).

Walt, V. "Women's Work," Mother Jones, October 1995, pp. 34–51.

Weisman, Andrew, "Puncturing Natural Gas Myths–Part I," 21 November 2003, at www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_display.cfm?a_id=556.

Wolf, Martin, "Cost of Another Gulf War," Financial Times [FT.com], 23 December 2002.

Youngquist, Walter, GeoDestinies (Portland, Oregon: National Book Company, 1997).

Youngquist, Walter, and Richard C. Duncan, "North American Natural Gas: Data Show Supply Problems," Natural Resources Research 12 (4), December 2003, pp. 229–40.

Herman E. Daly

Note: The following suggestions, by the editors, will give readers a flavor Dr. Daly's widely ranging writings over the years:

"The Perils of Free Trade," Scientific American, November 1993.

Beyond Growth: The Economics of Sustainable Development (Boston: Beacon Press, 1997).

For the Common Good: Redirecting the Economy Toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future, 2^nd edition (with John B. Cobb, Jr.) (Boston: Beacon Press, 1994).

Steady-State Economics, 2^nd edition (Washington, D.C.: Island Press, 1991).

Lincoln H. Day

Day, Alice T., Who Cares? Demographic Trends Challenge Family Care of the Elderly (Washington, D.C.: Population Reference Bureau, 1985).

-----------. Remarkable Survivors: Insights Into Successful Aging Among Women (Washington, D.C.: Urban Institute Press, 1991).

Day, Lincoln H., The Future of Low-Birthrate Populations (London and New York: Routledge, 1992).

Day, Lincoln H. and Alice T. Day, Too Many Americans (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1964).

Rowe, John W. and Robert L. Kahn, Successful Aging (New York: Random House, 1998).

Roger-Mark De Souza

De Souza, Roger-Mark, John Williams, and Frederick A.B. Meyerson, "Critical Links: Population, Health, and the Environment," Population Bulletin 58, no. 3 (Washington, D.C.: Population Reference Bureau, 2003).

Creel, Liz, Ripple Effects: Population and Coastal Regions (Washington, D.C.: Population Reference Bureau, 2003).

Curran, Sara, et al., "Interactions Between Coastal and Marine Ecosystems and Human Population Systems: Perspectives on How Consumption Mediates This Interaction," Ambio: A Journal of the Human Environment 31, no. 4 (2002), pp. 264–68.

Nash, Jonathan G., Healthy People Need Healthy Forests—Population and Deforestation (Washington, D.C.:Population Reference Bureau, 2001).

Nash, Jonathan G. and Roger-Mark De Souza, Making the Link: Population, Health, Environment (Washington, D.C.: Population Reference Bureau, 2002).

Lisa Mastny

United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (New York: 2003) and World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision (New York: 2004), at http://www.un.org/esa/population/unpop.htm.

Ohlsson, Leif, "Livelihood Conflicts: Linking Poverty and Environment as Causes of Conflict" (Stockholm: Environmental Policy Unit, Sida, 2000), at http://www.padrigu.gu.se/ohlsson/files/Livelihoods.pdf.

Fuller, Gary, "The Demographic Backdrop to Ethnic Conflict: A Geographic Overview," in The Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990s: Geographic Perspectives (Washington, D.C.: Central Intelligence Agency, 1995), pp. 151–54.

Nichiporuk, Brian, The Security Dynamics of Demographic Factors (Santa Monica: RAND, 2000).

Goldstone, Jack, A., Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1991).

Rothkopf, David J., "The Coming Battle of the Ages," Washington Post, 1 February 2004.

Danielle Nierenberg and Mia MacDonald

American Association for the Advancement of Science, Atlas of Population & Environment, 2001.

Ehrlich, Paul, Anne Ehrlich, and Gretchen Daily, The Stork and the Plow: The Equity Answer to the Human Dilemma (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1995).

Population Action International, Nature's Place: Human Population and the Future of Biological Diversity, 2000.

Programme of Action of the UN International Conference on Population and Development, 1994, at www.unfpa.org/icpd/icpd_poa.htm.

UN Population Fund (UNFPA), The State of World Population 2004: the Cairo Consensus at Ten: Population, Reproductive Health and the Global Effort to End Poverty (forthcoming, September 2004).

UNFPA, The State of World Population 2001: Footsteps and Milestones: Population and Environmental Change.

See also the website of the Women's Environment and Development Organization for a variety of relevant publications: www.wedo.org.

Martha Farnsworth Riche

Bongaarts, John, "Population aging and the rising cost of public pensions,"

Population and Development Review, March 2004.

Stark, Laura, and Hans-Peter Kohler, "The debate over low fertility in the

popular press: a cross-national comparison, 1998-1999," Population Research

and Policy Review, December 2002.

Population Reference Bureau, "Transitions in World Population," Population

Bulletin, March 2004.

Frederick T. Sai

Africa Recovery, vol.17, no.1 (May 2003), viewed at www.un.org/ecosocdev/geninfo/afrec/subjindx/171debt1.htm, 9 July 2004.

Hatcher, Robert A. et al., Contraceptive Technology:International Edition (Atlanta, Georgia: Printed Matter, Inc., 1989).

Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), 2004 Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic (Geneva: 2004).

New Internationalist Issue 309 ("The Radical 20^th Century"), January/February 1999.

Population Reference Bureau, World Population Data Sheet 2003 (Washington, D.C.: 2003).

United Nations Children's Fund, Maternal Mortality in 2000: Estimates Developed by WHO, UNICEF, and UNFPA, www.childinfo.org/maternal_mortality_in_2000.pdf.

United Nations Children's Fund, State of the World's Children 2000 (New York: 2000).

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Economic Development in Africa (New York: 2003).

United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Report 2003 (New York: 2003).

United Nations Environment Programme, Global Environmental Outlook 2000 (Nairobi: UNEP/Earthscan, 1999).

World Bank, World Development Indicators database, www.worldbank.org/data/countrydata/countrydata.html, viewed 9 July 2004.

World Bank, Intensifying Action Against HIV/AIDS in Africa: Responding to a Development Crisis (Washington, D.C.: 1999).

World Health Organization, Global Prevalence and Incidence of Selected Curable Sexually Transmitted Infections (Geneva: 2001), www.who.int/hiv/pub/sti/en/who_hiv_aids_2001.02.pdf.

J. Kenneth Smail

Author's note:  The following list includes several papers of my own which develop in considerably greater detail the argument and ideas contained within my World Watch essay.  I have also included a dozen or so books and articles that have been particularly helpful in shaping my thinking over the past decade and more.

Abernethy, V.D., Population Politics: The Choices That Shape Our Future (New York: Plenum, 1993).

Catton, W.R., Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change (Urbana: University of Illinois Press, 1980).

Cohen, J.E., How Many People Can The Earth Support? (New York: W.W. Norton, 1995).

Daly, H.E., Beyond Growth: The Economics of Sustainable Development (Boston: Beacon Press, 1996).

Deffeyes, K.S., Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2001).

Ehrlich, P.R. and A.H. Ehrlich, The Population Explosion (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1990).

Grant, L., Juggernaut: Growth on a Finite Planet (Santa Ana, CA: Seven Locks Press, 1996).

Hardin, G., Living Within Limits: Ecology, Economics and Population Taboos (New York: Oxford University Press, 1992).

Homer-Dixon, T.F., Environment, Scarcity, and Violence (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2001).

Malthus, T.R., An Essay on the Principle of Population (1798). (Norton Critical Edition, edited by P. Appleman, 2nd ed., New York: W.W. Norton, 2004).

Pimentel, D. et al, "Will Limits of the Earth's Resources Control Human Numbers?," (Environment, Development and Sustainability 1: 19-39, 1999).

Ponting, C., A Green History of the World: The Environment and the Collapse of Great Civilizations (New York: Penguin Books, 1993).

Smail, J.K., "Averting the 21st Century's Hidden Crisis: Can Human Numbers Be Reduced By 75%?," (Population and Environment 18 (6): 565-580, 1997).

Smail, J.K., "Beyond Population Stabilization: The Case for Dramatically Reducing Global Human Numbers," (Politics and the Life Sciences 16 (2): 183-236, 1997).  Includes "Target Article," followed by 16 "Commentaries" and author's "Response."

Smail, J.K., "Confronting a Surfeit of People: Reducing Global Human Numbers to Sustainable Levels," (Environment, Development and Sustainability 4: 21-50, 2002).

Smail, J.K., "Remembering Malthus: A Preliminary Argument For a Significant Reduction in Global Human Numbers," (American Journal of Physical Anthropology 118: 292-297, 2002).

Smail, J.K., "Remembering Malthus II: Establishing Sustainable Population Optimums," (American Journal of Physical Anthropology 122: 287-294, 2003).

Smail, J.K., "Remembering Malthus III: Implementing a Global Population Reduction," (American Journal of Physical Anthropology 122: 295-300, 2003).

Stanton, W., The Rapid Growth of Human Populations 1750-2000 (London: Multi-Science Publishing Company Ltd., 2003).

Wackernagel, M. and W. Rees, Our Ecological Footprint: Reducing Human Impact on the Earth (Gabriola Island, BC: New Society Publishers, 1996).

Wilson, E.O., The Future of Life (New York: A.A. Knopf, 2002).